Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.591344 0.774474 0.982745 1.233880 1.525270 1.849672 2.235053
2025-03-02 0.320676 0.533501 0.811968 1.187669 1.666463 2.242436 2.973711
2025-03-09 0.199199 0.423725 0.759357 1.257511 1.940370 2.809199 3.963551
2025-03-16 0.109398 0.314770 0.671403 1.254184 2.109244 3.252193 4.829933
2025-03-23 0.069859 0.268106 0.660083 1.350665 2.415502 3.888661 5.975267
2025-03-30 0.041134 0.222224 0.633660 1.413728 2.672934 4.469032 7.070358
2025-04-06 0.021269 0.177741 0.593193 1.442064 2.874265 4.976121 8.082640
2025-04-13 0.007908 0.129803 0.525239 1.406141 2.965785 5.324345 8.883774
2025-04-20 0.002688 0.101384 0.489032 1.419027 3.131264 5.782287 9.847822
2025-04-27 0.000590 0.079166 0.457615 1.433254 3.295634 6.240826 10.822009
2025-05-04 0.000007 0.054675 0.403475 1.387763 3.349398 6.528627 11.554382
2025-05-11 NaN 0.035763 0.351728 1.334389 3.380274 6.777060 12.231140
2025-05-18 NaN 0.025350 0.324932 1.335882 3.515160 7.201696 13.191795
2025-05-25 NaN 0.015456 0.286367 1.298689 3.572777 7.503651 13.977729
2025-06-01 NaN 0.013246 0.291811 1.379148 3.863504 8.195377 15.368457
2025-06-08 NaN 0.008527 0.269918 1.378888 3.993284 8.624624 16.368451
2025-06-15 NaN 0.007904 0.283411 1.483489 4.340057 9.424759 17.951539
2025-06-22 NaN 0.006373 0.284749 1.551625 4.615023 10.110474 19.369643
2025-06-29 NaN 0.004373 0.274582 1.582309 4.813391 10.671000 20.603154
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002037 0.245126 1.544305 4.863733 10.979119 21.448390
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001092 0.232323 1.558172 5.024373 11.479594 22.601490
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000520 0.220779 1.573400 5.187512 11.986713 23.771059
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000088 0.194019 1.524962 5.205056 12.237530 24.537472